The figures that matter most, each traceable to one entry and one named source.
Standing rule: no scores. Color marks whether something is in force, reversed, contested, concluded, or permanent, not good or bad.
Unscored · 97 entries · last change 2026-08-16
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Color is a legal fact, not an opinion. It shows (whether something is still in force, was reversed, or is contested in court), never whether it was good or bad.
Every number links to its source and to how strongly it can be tied to the action (). Click any figure to see the full evidence.
Nothing here is scored, graded, or ranked. When two credible sources disagree, this archive shows both numbers instead of picking one.
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Nobody is asking you to trust a byline. There isn’t one — the archive is anonymous, on purpose, which is exactly why it has to be checkable without one. See and check one entry against its own source yourself.
Public approval37% approve · 57% disapproveNet approval of roughly −21 is the lowest of either term, below his post-January-6 floor of −19. Independent approval near 34%.Polling averages, early August 2026
Next scheduled testMidterm elections, November 2026Three months out. Independent approval below the level that preceded the 2018 wave; the entire House and a third of the Senate are on the ballot.Election calendar
Figures of record
▲ and ▼ are direction. Color is measured : who paid, who gained, not whether that was right. Click a figure that has an entry. Not every figure here is a cost. Filter to just .
▲$2.8T
added to the national debt so far this term
18 months in; the JEC reported $2.77T year-over-year in April 2026
Net cost
Added since January 2025 — from $36.22T to roughly $39T. Borne by future taxpayers through debt service; sources put the range at $2.2T–$2.8T depending on cut-off.
Gross national debt · Treasury / Federal Reserve
▲54
more federal judges confirmed this term
On top of 234 in the first term
Transfer
9 appellate, 45 district. Ahead of the 2018 confirmation pace but with a far thinner pipeline — 60 nominees submitted against 137 by this date in 2018.
Lifetime judgeships filled this term · Senate confirmation record
▲369K
total jobs added, Jan 2025 – Mar 2026
vs. 1,565,000 in the final 14 months prior
Transfer
Positive but roughly a quarter the pace of the preceding 14 months. Private sector +609K, offset by federal cuts.
Total nonfarm employment · BLS via FactCheck.org
What this archive is made of
97 entries, 203 effect claims, 520 sourced estimates, 230 linked documents. Zero scores, grades, or rankings.
Where every entry stands today
Color here is a legal and operational fact, not an opinion: whether the action is still in force, was reversed or never fulfilled, is contested in court, has concluded, or is irreversible.
Coverage by domain
Bar segments show the standing mix inside each domain. Click any row to open it in the ledger.
The honesty check on the whole archive. If nearly everything claimed Direct, the archive would be overreaching. Amber marks claims where credible sources reach incompatible conclusions.
Direct138
Contributory28
Contextual20
Disputed17
What the evidence is made of
Every estimate in the archive, grouped by the kind of institution that produced it. Advocacy sources are admissible but never appear alone.
Primary document157
Government data79
Party to the action67
Academic / peer-reviewed52
Nonpartisan scorekeeper41
Advocacy — labeled31
Journalistic verification26
Named / interested parties24
Archive reasoning — not a source17
Cross-ideological convergence13
Mixed / other11
Polling aggregate2
The disagreement, charted
These are the numbers people argue with. Each bar is one published estimate at its own value, never averaged into a single figure, because the width of the gap is itself the finding.
10-year deficit effect — OBBBA
$ trillions, 2025–2034
CBO, excl. interest3.4
CBO, incl. interest4.1
CBO, dynamic (thru 2035)4.7
CRFB, if made permanent5.5
10-year deficit effect — TCJA
$ trillions
JCT, dynamic1.07
JCT, conventional1.46
CBO, incl. interest1.9
Project 2025 implementation — competing trackers
% of that tracker’s own agenda list
CPR / GFI — 532 proposals, method published53
Crowdsourced tracker — 317 objectives, no method48
Employment effect — steel & aluminum tariffs
jobs
Steel production jobs added1000
Steel-consuming mfg. jobs lost-75000
2024-07-18 · Foreign policy & defense · promise
Promise: no new wars — "I will end wars, not start them"
50 of 97
Layer 1 — Action
Stated throughout the 2016, 2020 and 2024 campaigns and in the 2024 convention address, framed as ending "forever wars" and being a peacemaker president.
A central and repeatedly stated commitment across three campaigns: to end existing conflicts and start no new ones. Two major US military operations were initiated in the first six weeks of 2026, neither authorized by Congress.
Layer 2 —
Not fulfilled — two unauthorized operations initiated in 2026
US forces struck Caracas and captured the Venezuelan head of state on January 3, 2026. US and Israeli forces struck Iran on February 28, 2026, opening a conflict of more than five weeks. Neither operation was authorized by Congress. A ceasefire with Iran declared April 8 has been violated by both sides and a US naval blockade remains in place.
Verified as of August 2026
"No new wars" was never a legal commitment and cannot be adjudicated like a statute. What can be documented: two operations, zero congressional authorizations, and one failed constraint vote decided by a tiebreak. Readers who consider these limited operations rather than wars will read the same record differently — which is why the record, not the label, is what appears here.
Layer 3 — Measured effects
Two major military operations were initiated without congressional authorization.
Venezuela: strikes on Caracas and the capture of a sitting head of state, January 3, 2026, with no authorization sought.
Contemporaneous record; administration cited the 2002 AUMF and Article II
Primary document
Iran: US and Israeli strikes beginning February 28, 2026, stated as targeting the nuclear program and initiating regime change.
Administration statements at the time
Party to the action
The administration’s legal justification for the Venezuela strikes rests on a DOJ opinion it has kept classified.
Congressional and press accounts
Journalistic verification
Congress attempted to constrain the operations and failed by the narrowest possible margin.
A war powers resolution failed 50-50 on January 14, 2026, broken by the Vice President. Collins, Paul and Murkowski voted with Democrats.
Senate roll call
Primary document
An earlier procedural vote passed 52-47 on January 8, 2026, before Republican senators flipped.
Senate record
Primary document
Several senators stated publicly they felt misled by prior classified briefings that indicated no strikes on Venezuelan territory or regime change were intended.
On-record senator statements
Named legislators — interested parties
Whether these operations constitute "wars" or limited actions.
The administration characterizes them as counter-narcoterrorism and counter-proliferation operations, not wars.
White House statements
Party to the action
Members of both parties characterized the Venezuela operation as unauthorized hostilities requiring congressional approval under the 1973 War Powers Resolution.
Bipartisan sponsors Kaine, Paul, Schumer, Schiff
Named legislators — interested parties
The definitional question has no neutral arbiter; the War Powers Resolution has never been judicially enforced against a president.